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Has war with Israel diminished Iran’s influence in the Middle East? | DW News

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In a dramatic turn of events, Israel’s military asserts that its recent assaults, in conjunction with U.S. operations, have significantly hampered Iran’s nuclear ambitions, potentially setting them back years. This revelation comes in the wake of the October 7th Hamas-led attack, which aimed to ignite a multifront conflict involving Iranian proxies across the region. However, Iran’s anticipated response has been tepid, with its allies—most notably Hezbollah and the Houthis—remaining largely on the sidelines, a stark departure from their expected role as active participants.

The Israeli military’s relentless campaign has systematically dismantled the capabilities of these proxies, leaving Iran politically strained and militarily vulnerable. As the death toll from the ongoing conflict in Gaza surpasses 57,000, questions arise about the future of Iran’s influence in the Middle East. Analysts suggest that Iran has miscalculated its strategic positioning, leading to a significant degradation of its regional power.

Sarah Harm, a defense policy expert, emphasized that Iran’s reliance on its proxies has backfired. The once-cohesive Axis of Resistance has been fractured, with each proxy now preoccupied with its own local challenges. This fragmentation indicates a profound shift in the balance of power, leaving Iran isolated and scrambling to regain its footing.

Moreover, the internal pressures facing the Iranian regime are mounting, as economic disruptions and heavy-handed governance provoke dissent. The absence of coordinated action among its proxies during this critical period underscores Iran’s diminished clout in the region.

As Israel continues its military operations, the prospect of a reshaped Middle East looms large, one where normalization with Israel may eventually become feasible. However, the ongoing humanitarian crisis in Gaza casts a long shadow over any potential diplomatic breakthroughs. The world watches closely as these developments unfold, marking a pivotal moment in Middle Eastern geopolitics that could redefine alliances and enmities for years to come.

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