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How will the next Dalai Lama be chosen? | Inside Story

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In a dramatic announcement that could reshape Tibetan Buddhism and international relations, the Dalai Lama has confirmed that a successor will be chosen following his death, igniting tensions with China. As the revered spiritual leader approaches his 90th birthday, he insists that the selection will adhere to Tibetan traditions, potentially allowing the next Dalai Lama to be born among his followers in India. However, Beijing has made it clear that it intends to control the process, claiming the right to approve the next spiritual leader, a move that could escalate tensions not only in Tibet but also between China and India, home to a significant Tibetan exile community.

The Dalai Lama’s declaration comes after years of speculation about his potential retirement and the future of the centuries-old institution he embodies. His followers in India, where he has lived in exile since fleeing Tibet in 1959, express relief at the continuity of their spiritual lineage. Yet, the specter of a rival Dalai Lama looms large, as China prepares to assert its authority over the reincarnation process, raising fears of a split within the Tibetan Buddhist community.

China’s insistence on having the final say in the selection process is rooted in its long-standing view of the Dalai Lama as a separatist figure. The Chinese government aims to install a compliant leader who will promote Beijing’s narrative that Tibet has always been part of China. This contentious issue not only threatens to deepen the divide between Tibetan Buddhists and the Chinese state but also risks inflaming diplomatic relations between China and India, as the latter continues to support the Dalai Lama’s autonomy.

As the world watches closely, the stakes have never been higher. The potential for unrest in Tibet following the Dalai Lama’s passing could serve as a flashpoint, testing the resolve of both the Tibetan people and the Chinese government. The choice of the next Dalai Lama may well determine the future of Tibetan Buddhism and the geopolitical landscape of the region.

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