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Could Trump’s threats against Brazil backfire? | Inside Story

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In a shocking escalation of international tensions, U.S. President Donald Trump has threatened Brazil with a staggering 50% tariff, igniting a fierce backlash from Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, who decries this move as “unacceptable blackmail.” The conflict centers on Trump’s defense of former Brazilian President Jair Bolsonaro, who is facing serious legal repercussions for alleged coup attempts following his electoral defeat to Lula in 2022.

As Brazil’s Supreme Court intensifies its crackdown on Bolsonaro, mandating an electronic monitoring device to restrict his movements, Trump’s threats have only served to unify Brazilian political factions against perceived U.S. interference. Lula’s administration is rallying support, leveraging the situation to bolster national sovereignty and rally public sentiment.

“This is a serious attack on our institutions,” Lula stated, underscoring the national outrage against Trump’s interventionist tactics. The fallout could have far-reaching implications: if Trump proceeds with the tariffs, Brazil’s economy—particularly its vital coffee and orange juice exports—could suffer devastating blows, while American consumers face skyrocketing prices.

Economists warn that Trump’s heavy-handed approach could backfire, pushing Brazil closer to alternative trade partners like China and the EU, further isolating the U.S. in the region. With Brazil’s upcoming elections looming, the political landscape is shifting dramatically. Bolsonaro’s supporters are now grappling with the potential fallout of Trump’s actions, which may inadvertently strengthen Lula’s position.

As both nations navigate this precarious standoff, the world watches closely. Will Trump double down on his threats or reconsider in the face of mounting pressure? The stakes are high, and the outcome remains uncertain, but one thing is clear: the rift between the U.S. and Brazil is deepening, with profound implications for both countries and the broader geopolitical landscape.

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