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What could a transatlantic tariff escalation mean for the global economy? | DW News

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In a dramatic escalation of trade tensions, President Donald Trump has threatened to impose a staggering 30% tariff on imports from Mexico and the European Union, effective next month. This shocking announcement has sent ripples through the global economy, with both Mexico and the EU scrambling to negotiate a last-minute deal to avert a full-blown trade war.

During a hospital inauguration, Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum expressed cautious optimism, stating that while she believes a new trade agreement can be reached, Mexico’s sovereignty is non-negotiable. The stakes are high; Mexico has long been America’s largest source of imports, and Trump’s tariffs are a direct response to what he claims is Mexico’s failure to curb drug trafficking.

The EU, meanwhile, is holding its breath as it contemplates its next move. EU leaders are caught between the desire for diplomacy and the need to prepare countermeasures. EU Chief Ursula von der Leyen has indicated a two-track approach: pursuing negotiations while simultaneously readying retaliatory tariffs. The clock is ticking, with a deadline looming on August 1st.

Experts warn that if these tariffs come into effect, they could trigger a global economic collapse. Harvard economist Jeffrey Frankel noted that such drastic measures would not only inflate consumer prices in the U.S. but could also lead to a worldwide recession. The EU’s response, which could include tariffs on U.S. goods worth up to €91 billion, is poised to further escalate tensions.

As the world watches this unfolding saga, the implications are clear: failure to reach an agreement could unravel months of negotiations and plunge both the U.S. and its trading partners into economic chaos. The urgency is palpable as leaders race against the clock to avert a trade disaster that could reshape the global economic landscape.

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